The main topic of this article is about the public reaction towards M&A transactions after their respective announcements and its impact on the stock prices of the target and acquiring firms for both short-term and long-term period. A paired sample analysis for both target and acquiring companies has also been conducted by comparing the pre-announcement and post-announcement returns of their stock prices in the event window of ☓0 and ☒52 days for acquiring company only. Within last few years, the total number of M&As has stayed relatively stable. Moreover, we can find that the most popular years for M&As was in 1999, 2007, and 2015. The M&A value(orange line) and a total number(blue bar) of the M&As have their own cycles. Up to Friday's close, LinkedIn stock had already lost just over half its value so far this year.We can see that the total number of M&As has increased over time(from the length of the bars and the dashed linear forecasting line above which shows the upward trend). "Given those macro concerns and LinkedIn's recent execution issues, we expect investors will demand financial outperformance before there is meaningful recovery in LNKD's multiple," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a client note. LinkedIn has been spending heavily on expansion by buying companies, hiring sales personnel and growing outside the United States, but is now facing pressure in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific due to macro-economic issues. LinkedIn should be trading at $71.79, a 30 percent discount to the stock's Friday's low, according to StarMine's Intrinsic Valuation model, which takes analysts' five-year estimates and models the growth trajectory over a longer period. Twitter Inc (TWTR.N) trades at 29.5 times forward earnings, Facebook Inc (FB.O) at 33.8 times and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) at 20.9 times.Įven after the selloff, LinkedIn's shares may still be overvalued, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine data. LinkedIn's disappointing forecast and a weak forecast from data analytics software maker Tableau Software Inc (DATA.N) reverberated through the tech sector on Friday, sending the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) down more than 3 percent.Īs of Thursday, LinkedIn shares were trading at 50 times forward 12-month earnings, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the tech sector. "We were wrong," they said in a client note. RBC analysts said they had thought LinkedIn was on the cusp of "fundamentally positive" change. "The mediocre employment report from the Labor department just amplified the reaction of anything employment sensitive today." "It's not a great day to have reported tough guidance," said Randle Reece, an analyst with Avondale Partners LLC. LinkedIn's hiring business, called Talent Solutions, is the company's biggest unit by revenue. monthly jobs report, which showed employment gains slowed more than expected in January. Underscoring the slowdown in growth, LinkedIn said online ad revenue growth slowed to 20 percent in the latest quarter from 56 percent a year earlier.Īdding fuel to the selloff was the release of the U.S. "This would imply that LinkedIn will grow around 15 percent in 2017 and 10 percent in 2018," Mizuho analysts said. LinkedIn forecast full-year revenue of $3.60-$3.65 billion, missing the average analyst estimate of $3.91 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Their median target dropped 34 percent to $188, according to Reuters data. "With a lower growth profile, we believe that LinkedIn should not enjoy the premium multiple it has grown accustomed to," Mizuho Securities USA Inc analysts wrote in a note.Īt least 36 brokerages cut their price targets, with Pacific Crest halving its target to $190. At least nine brokerages downgraded the stock to "hold" from "buy", saying the company's lofty valuation was no longer justified.
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